Abstract
Global population dynamics are changing rapidly. While some countries continue to experience rapid population growth, others are facing stagnation or even population decline. Nepal is also undergoing a significant demographic transformation, shaped by declining fertility, increasing lifeexpectancy, and large-scale youth migration. Although Nepal currently hosts a sizeable youth population, persistent out- migration is accelerating the transition toward an aging society. These shifts are reshaping the country’s socio-economic and food systems in profound ways. This article examines the relationships among youth migration, the demographic transition, and food security in Nepal. Drawing on secondary data, academic literature, policy documents, and empirical studies, it argues that youth migration produces mixed outcomes. On one hand, remittances enhance household income and food access for many families. On the other hand, the departure of young workers creates labor shortages in agriculture, alters rural food systems, and deepens inequalities among households and regions. The article concludes by highlighting policy options that better align migration dynamics with Nepal's long-term food security goals.
References
Acharya, Y., et al. (2025). Migration, remittance, and effects on maize production in Nepal. Journal of Nepal Agricultural Research Council.
Adams, J. J. (2021). Urbanization, long-run growth, and the demographic transition. Journal of Demographic Economics, 88(1), 31–77.
Adhikari, K. P. (2024). Beyond Birth and Death: A Clarion Call to Action on Nepal’s Demographic Transition. Nepal Journal of Sociology.
Alam, M. J. (2025). Women’s empowerment and household dietary diversity in Bangladesh. International Journal of Food Security.
Amnesty International Nepal. (2024). Foreign Labor Migration: Opportunities and Challenges in Nepal.
Bajracharya, S. N. (2022). Nepal labor migration trends and outlook. Nepal Economic Forum.
Bhandari, K. (2021). Demographic changes in Nepal. Journal of Population and Development, 2(1), 77–91. https://doi.org/10.3126/jpd.v2i1.43476
Bhandari, M. P. (2024a). The past, present, and future directions of migration/immigration. Nova Science Publishers, Incorporated. ISBN 979-8891135369. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52305/BXJI1475
Bhandari, M. P. (2024b). Theories and practices of global journeys. Nova Science Publishers, Incorporated. ISBN 979-8891135352. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52305/GJMM7786. — This volume, part of the Immigration in the 21st Century: Political, Social and Economic Issues series, explores conceptual and practical aspects of human mobility worldwide.
Bhandari, M. P. (2024c). Transforming futures: Navigating society, environment, and governance. Nova Science Publishers, Incorporated. ISBN 979-8891133198. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52305/VZSS3645. — Although broader in scope, this book includes key discussions on migration and its socio-political implications in global development contexts
Bhusal, T. P. (2025). Brain Drain or Brain Gain? The Impact of Youth Migration on Nepal’s Development. Journal of Contemporary Review.
Central Bureau of Statistics, National Statistics Office, Nepal. (2023). Population Census 2021: Shows the share of children decreasing and the proportion of people aged 60+ rising relative to 2011.
Chhetri, et al. (2024). Long-term effects of foreign labor on agriculture and the workforce. Janapriya Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies.
Engle, P. L., et al. (2017). Women’s empowerment and child nutrition outcomes in South Asia. Maternal and Child Nutrition.
Food and Agriculture Organization. (2025). Nepal at a glance. FAO.
Government of Nepal, National Planning Commission. (2020). Fifteenth plan (FY 2019/20–2023/24). Government of Nepal.
Huang, Y., & Chen, X. (2025). How urbanization shapes rural ageing in China? Evidence from spatial Durbin and threshold regression models. Habitat International, 163, 103487.
IMF. (2015). International Migration and Demographic Transition.
Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI). (2024). Tackling the climate–food–migration nexus through urban food systems.
Jayaweera, S., & Verma, R. (2024). Impact of migration and remittances on food expenditure and dietary diversity: Evidence from Sri Lanka. Discover Food.
Mallick, B., et al. (2010). Remittances and food security in Bangladesh: A national-level analysis. Public Health Nutrition.
Malapit, H. J., et al. (2015). Women’s empowerment in agriculture and child nutritional status in rural Nepal. Public Health Nutrition.
Maharjan, A. (2018). Migration has long been a livelihood strategy in Nepal — commentary in SciDev.
Measuring Food Insecurity in Older Adults Using Both Physical and Economic Food Access (NHANES 2013–18). (2021). Journal of Nutrition.
Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development. (2015). National Agriculture Development Strategy 2015–2035. Government of Nepal.
Ministry of Health, Nepal. (2022). Nepal Demographic and Health Survey 2022. Kathmandu: MOH.
Nepalese Youth for Climate Action. (2026). Climate change and agriculture in Nepal: Overcoming challenges for a sustainable future.
Nepal’s demographic window is closing. (2024). Nepali Times.
Pant, K. P. (2013). Effects of labour migration on poverty and agricultural growth in Nepal. Journal of Agriculture and Environment, 14, 87–101.
Paudel, J. (2025). Nepal’s Demographic Dividend: Challenges and Opportunities. Terhathum Multiple Campus Research Journal.
Paudel, R., Sharma, S., & Thapa, K. (2024). Transforming land and livelihood: Analysis of agricultural land abandonment. Journal of Forest and Livelihood, 22(1), 45–62. https://doi.org/10.3126/jfl.v22i1.65677
Rawat, T. K. (2024). Changing Demographic Structure of Nepal: From Youth Bulge to Aging Society. Journal of Contemporary Review.
Regmi, U., & Paudel, K. (2023). Remittances and food security in rural Nepal: Evidence on food and non-food consumption. MDPI Economics.
Sharma, T. P., & Shakya, D. V. (2025). Demographic transition and changing age structure in Nepal. Tribhuvan University Journal, 40(2), 33–53. https://doi.org/10.3126/tuj.v40i2.88000
Singh, D. R., Ghimire, S., Jeffers, E. M., et al. (2020). Food insecurity among senior citizens in high-out-migration areas: evidence from Western Nepal. BMC Nutrition.
Singh, R., & Sharma, P. (2019). Nutritional outcomes of empowerment and market integration for women in rural India. Food Security.
Smith, L. C., & Wessel, M. (2023). Food prices and vulnerability of people experiencing poverty: Linking price volatility to food security. Journal of Food Security Research.
Timsina, T. R. (2024). Impact of Youth Migration on the Agricultural Sector in Nepal. Rupantaran: A Multidisciplinary Journal.
UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs & FAO. (2019). Migration, agriculture and rural development: FAO perspective.
UNFPA Nepal. (2024). Future-proofing Nepal’s population strategy. https://nepal.unfpa.org/en/news/future-proofing-nepals-population-strategy
UNICEF Nepal. (2018). Increased investment in children is needed today to ensure that Nepal reaps its demographic dividends. https://www.unicef.org/nepal/press-releases/increased-investment-children-needed-today-ensure-nepal-reaps
UNICEF Office of Strategy, Policy and Evidence. (2025). Remittances and children: Why do remittances matter for child outcomes?
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. (2025). Policy Brief No. 161: On the path to an older population: Maximizing the benefits from the demographic dividend in the least developed countries. United Nations Publications.
World Bank. (2025). Population ageing and the economy: Challenges and opportunities. World Bank Publications.
World Bank. (2026). By 2050, Nepal must create 6.5 million jobs to reap the demographic dividend—the Kathmandu Post.
Youth Engagement: A Fundamental Factor in Enhancing Food and Nutrition Security in Nepal. Kathmandu Post.
Kathmandu Post. (April 3, 2024). Food security and climate resilience.
This research was funded by Renewable World Nepal. The authors express their sincere gratitude to Thakur Thapa, Manoj Prasad Ojha, Aarju Karki, Bhawana Dhungana, and the staff of the Kathmandu Office for their valuable support and cooperation throughout the study. We would also like to sincerely thank Mr. Manoj Ayer, Mr. Hari Bhadra Acharya, Mr. Manoj Ojha, and Mr. Binaya Jha for their supervision and support during the fieldwork. We are also deeply grateful to Warden Chandra Shekher Chaudhary and all the staff of SPNP, including the army personnel, for consistently ensuring our safety and well-being. Finally, we extend our heartfelt thanks to the entire KAFCOL family for their continued support.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Copyright (c) 2026 Sunil Sigdel, Medani P. Bhandari
